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  • Global Oil demand is projected to expand by an average of 1.6% per year from 86.9 mbpd in 2008 to 94.1 mbpd by 2013 2.
  • Global Oil demand will reach 116 mbpd by 2030 3.
  • Non-OECD countries will be using 48.7% of Global Oil by 2013 4.
  • Oil and Gas will represent close to 60% of overall energy by 2030 5.
  • Oil is expected to grow at 1.4% annually. Significant improvements in fuel efficiency will reduce relative demand 6.
  • Oil Lifetime Carbon Emissions by source : 742 g/Kwh 7 Natural
2 Press Release. 2008. Medium Term Oil Market Report. International Energy Agency.
http://www.iea.org/Textbase/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=267

3 World Energy Outlook. 2006. Intern6ational Energy Agency.
4 Press Release. 2008. Medium Term Oil Market Report. International Energy Agency.
http://www.iea.org/Textbase/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=267

5 Tomorrow's Energy. 2006. Exxon Mobil

6 Tomorrow's Energy. 2006. Exxon Mobil.

7 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
 
  • Natural gas consumption is to increase by 1.7 percent per year on average, from 104 trillion cubic feet to 158 trillion cubic feet, while its share of world electricity generation increases from 20 percent in 2005 to 25 percent in 2030 8.
  • Primary Gas consumption is expected to increase to 4.7 tcf by 2030 9.
  • The industrial sector, which is the world's largest consumer of natural gas, will account for 43 percent of projected natural gas use in 2030 10.
  • Electricity generation will account for 35 percent of the world's total natural gas consumption in 2030 11.
  • Gas is expected to grow 1.8% annually driven by b growth in electricity demand 12.
  • Natural Gas Lifetime Carbon Emissions by source : 466 g/Kwh 13
8 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/world.html

9 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.
10 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/nat_gas.html

11 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/nat_gas.

12 Tomorrow's Energy. 2006. Exxon Mobil.

13 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/05/nuke-vs-solar-thecarbon-calculus.html
 
  • World coal consumption is to increase by 65 percent from 122.5 quadrillion Btu in 2005 to 202.2 quadrillion Btu in 203014.
  • Coal is expected to grow at 1.8% annually. Despite higher CO2 intensity large indigenous supplies will keep demand up especially in Asia15.
  • Coal's share of total world energy consumption is projected to increase to 29 percent in 203016.
  • 86% of increase in coal demand by 2030 will come from developing countries17.
  • Coal's share in worldwide electric power generation is projected to increase to 46%18.
  • Power generation will account for 73% of worldwide coal use by 203019.
  • Coal Lifetime Carbon Emissions : 1006 g/Kwh20
  • A typical 500-megawatt coal plant produces 3.5 billion kilowatt-hours per year -- enough to power a city of about 140,000 people21. It burns 1.4 million tons of coal (the equivalent of 40 train cars of coal each day) and uses 2.2 billion gallons of water each year. In an average year, this one plant also generates the following:
    • 10,000 tons of sulfur dioxide
    • 10,200 tons of nitrogen oxide, equivalent to half a million late-model cars
    • 3.7 million tons of carbon dioxide, equivalent to cutting down 100 million trees
    • 500 tons of small particles
    • 220 tons of hydrocarbons
    • 720 tons of carbon monoxide
    • 125,000 tons of ash and 193,000 tons of sludge from the smokestack scrubber
    • 170 pounds of mercury, 225 pounds of arsenic, 114 pounds of lead, 4 pounds of cadmium, and other toxic heavy metals
    • Trace amounts of uranium

14 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/coal.html

15 Tomorrow's Energy. 2006. Exxon Mobil.
16 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/coal.html

17 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.
18 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/coal.html

19 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.

20 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/05/nuke-vs-solar-thecarbon-calculus.html

21 Typical Coal Plant. 2008. Union of Concerned Scientists.
http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/technology_and_impacts/impacts/public-benefits-of-renewable.html
 
  • Electricity generation from nuclear power is projected to increase from about 2.6 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2005 to 3.8 trillion
    kilowatt-hours in 203022.
  • The IAEA predicts that nuclear electric power capacity will increase from the current 372 GWe to between 473 GWe to 748 GWe in 203023.
  • IEA predicts that Nuclear power generating capacity will grow to 416 GW by 203024.
  • The share of Nuclear energy in power generation will drop to 10% by 203025.
  • French Energy Conglomerate Areva estimates that 130 new Nuclear Power Plants will be built globally by 203026.
  • Nuclear Lifetime Carbon Emissions : 16 to 55 g/Kwh27
22 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/highlights.html

23 Press Release. 2008. Nuclear Power Outlook.
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/PressReleases/2008/prn200811.html

24 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.
25 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.
26 Nuclear Profile. 2008. Allianz Knowledge.
http://knowledge.allianz.com/en/globalissues/energy_co2/energy_profiles/energy_profile_nuclear.html

27 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/05/nuke-vs-solar-thecarbon-calculus.html

 
  • Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC), projects the global wind energy market will reach 240,000 megawatts (MW) by 2012, a total
    growth rate of 155%28.
  • Wind power is projected to expand to $83.4 Billion by 201729.
  • 2.1 million people will find employment in Wind Energy Sector by 203030.
  • Wind Lifetime Carbon Emissions : 14 g/Kwh31
 
  • Solar Photovoltaic's will grow from a $20.3 Billion industry in 2007 to $74 Billion by 201732 with an estimated generation of 22,760 MW.
  • Photovoltaic Power to Provide 14 Percent of Global Electricity and nearly 10 Million Jobs by 203033.
  • Solar Energy Future Global Scenario - 203034
    • Accumulated Capacity - 912 -1864 GW
    • Electricity Production - 1291 - 2646 TWh
    • Market Value - 204 - 454 Euros
  • 6.3 million people will find employment in Solar Energy sector by 203035.
  • Solar Lifetime Carbon Emissions : 17 to 39 g/kwh36
32 Trends 2008. 2008. Clean Edge.
http://www.cleanedge.com/reports/reports-trends2008.php

33 Solar Generation V. 2008 European Photovaltaic Industry Association.
34 Solar Generation V. 2008 European Photovaltaic Industry Association.
35 Green Jobs. 2008. ILO.
http://www.ilo.org/global/About_the_ILO/Media_and_public_information/Press_releases/lang--en/WCMS_098481/index.htm

36 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/05/nuke-vs-solar-thecarbon-calculus.html
 
  • Hydro Power is expected to grow at just under 2% annually till 203037.
  • Hydroelectricity and other renewable energy consumption will grow to 59 quadrillion Btu by 203038.
  • Hydro Lifetime Carbon Emissions : 18 g/Kwh39
37 Tomorrow's Energy. 2006. Exxon Mobil.

38 International Energy Outlook. 2008. Energy Information Administration.

39 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/05/nuke-vs-solar-thecarbon-calculus.html
 
  • Number countries producing Geo-thermal energy could increase to 46 in 201040.
  • Total Geo-thermal capacity could increase to 13,500 MW or more by 201041.
  • Geo-Thermal Lifetime Carbon Emissions : 15 g/Kwh42
40 GEA World Update. 2007. Geo-thermal Energy Association.
http://www.geoenergy.org/publications/reports/GEA%20World%20Update%202007.pdf

41 GEA World Update. 2007. Geo-thermal Energy Association.
www.geoenergy.org/publications/reports/GEA%20World%20Update%202007.pdf

42 Carbon Calculus. 2008. Mother Jones.
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/05/nuke-vs-solar-thecarbon-calculus.html
 
  • Bio-fuels (global production and wholesale pricing of Ethanol and Bio-diesel) are projected to grow to $81.1 Billion by 2017 with an estimated
    production of 45.9 Billion Gallons43.
  • Bio-fuels will grow from 1.35 mbpd in 2008 to 1.95 mbpd by 201344.
  • Bio-fuels including Ethanol and Bio-diesel will grow to about 3 MBD in 203045.
  • Bio-fuels could account for 4%-7% of road fuel consumption by 203046.
  • 2.7 Billion People i.e. one thirds of the world's population will still be using Biomass for daily energy needs by 203047.
  • Projected prices of Bio-fuels $ per barrel in 203048.

Ethanol from Sugarcane 25-35

Ethanol from Maize 25-35

Ethanol from Beet 25-35

Ethanol from Wheat 25-35

Ethanol from Lignocellulose 25-35

Bio-diesel from vegetable oils 25-35

Fuels made from Syngas 25-35

43 Trends 2008. 2008. Clean Edge.
http://www.cleanedge.com/reports/reports-trends2008.php

44 Press Release. 2008. Medium Term Oil Market Report. International Energy Agency.
http://www.iea.org/Textbase/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=267

45 Tomorrow's Energy. 2006. Exxon Mobil.
46 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.
47 World Energy Outlook. 2006. International Energy Agency.
48 Royal Society. 2008. Economist.
http://www.economist.com/surveys/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11565647
 
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